Election Day is finally here. A GOP postmortem: What went so wrong in Pennsylvania? Hochul and Adams face major test in 2023 on shared vision for housing, crime, Where woke goes to die: DeSantis, with eye toward 2024, launches second term, New data shows the folly of Trumps crusade against early voting, Oops! Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Support for the incoming congressman is eroding at home. But when it came to the possibility of abortion being illegal, there was no equivocation: The women were stunned and enraged. GOP officials in Pennsylvania are also in the process of launching initiatives aimed at persuading more of their supporters to vote by mail a method many of them had previously criticized, challenged in court and tried to repeal legislatively and healing intraparty divides across the states diverse regions. Because theyre not part of it. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. But even . Chris Christie walks on stage. The sleek and navigable design offers a convenient way to access POLITICO's scoops and groundbreaking reporting. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Find out all the ways Emergent perceives, prepares, and protects. In 2018, the GOP lost 40 seats in the House. Declining return on investment on digital list-building and concerns from surveys of donors have online fundraisers worried. Now Democrats with the aid of one powerful D.C. law firm are mounting a counteroffensive. There's just less attention, which I think actually frees her up to focus on excelling and not have to worry about the relentless scrutiny., Pennsylvania Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano, seen here speaking to supporters on election night, lost his race to Democratic candidate Josh Shapiro by 15 percentage points. The current breakdown of the House (allocating vacant seats to the party that last won them) is 222 Democrats and 213 Republicans. | Lynne Sladky/AP Photo. I cover so many local races that I had to do an accompanying San Francisco story. Tuesdays midterm elections will likely dramatically shape Bidens next two years in office. According to his own pollsters, the former presidents misguided and unreliable management of the public health crisis cost him the 2020 election. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Sign up to receive EPPC's biweekly e-newsletter of selected publications, news, and events. Collins (R-Ga.) has not formally announced that Phillips, 36, will be his chief of staff, but three Georgia Republican congressional staffers told POLITICO he has been selected for the job. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. office Kate OConnor of the House Energy and Commerce Committee Jose Diaz-Balart Donald Kohn (8-0) Brunswick Groups Siobhan Gorman Brad Woodhouse of Protect Our Care Aanchal Sahay of Planned Parenthood Federation former Sen. Rudy Boschwitz (R-Minn.) (92) Michael Kratsios former CIA Director David Petraeus George Thompson of FleishmanHillard David Grossman Jeff Bjornstad Pat Devlin. If those Toss Ups were to. Natalie Fertig: Youre part of a 200-plus person Democratic caucus. RICK SCOTT, R-Fla., the chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, declined Sunday to say whether he would run for majority leader if Republicans gain control of the Senate in the midterm elections. You further agree to our privacy policy and terms of service. Alaskas Fisheries Are Collapsing. November 1:Florida moves from Leans to Likely Republican; Washington Safe to Likely Democratic. Florida Dems elect Nikki Fried to lead the party after 'horrific November', The bipartisan odd couple banding together to fight election deniers in Arizona, The time George Santos tried to raise crazy money to host a simple rally for Trump, Black candidates keep losing winnable races and say the Democratic Party may be why, No Democratic Bench? The emails, which were sent to all 168 committee members email addresses, offer a rare glimpse at the agitation that is roiling among some in the Republican National Committee at a moment of intense scrutiny of the institution and the party it represents. Professional private-sector forecasters predict it will decline from 2.5 percent in . By Blake Hounshell. Faith has been Mr. Bidens calling card in his nearly two years in office faith in the system in which he has been a fixture for more than half a century, faith that he could repair the fissures of a broken society, faith that he and he alone could beat former President Donald J. Trump if they face off again in 2024. Get the recap of top opinion commentary and original content throughout the week. In the House, the most likely outcome is that this will be a typical midterm in which the presidents party loses seats. SPOTTED: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and husband George Akerlof having an early Saturday lunch at Petes New Haven Style Apizza in Tenleytown. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez was a stunning winner in the 2022 midterms. But rarely has a rift at the top of a party spilled so fully into view at such a pivotal moment, NYTs Michael Bender and Patricia Mazzei write. As a sign of the seriousness of the effort, the state party has enlisted Public Opinion Strategies, a D.C. area-based firm, to conduct the review of the 2022 election. RON DeSANTIS played out in Florida on Sunday as the two held dueling rallies. The challenge after Tuesday is to keep two things in mind: There can be a massive change in policy direction (the House flipping) with only a small change in the electorate (less than 5% of House seats changing hands). But because four of those seats are currently held by Democrats and two by Republicans, its fair to describe the GOP as a slim favorite. Santos also conceded hed embellished his familys Jewish history, having previously claimed his mother was Jewish and his maternal grandparents escaped the Holocaust during World War II. He previously was legislative director for Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) and is a Henry Waxman alum. Redistricting will change everything. November 7:Arizona moves from Tilts to Leans Democratic; Pennsylvania Tilts Democratic to Tilts Republican, Place the map on your website with this code. Inflation, crime, progressive attempts at overreach and a general sense that President Biden is not up to the job will likely deliver a surprisingly large victory to Republicans. Always see the latest from Henry Olsen and other EPPC Scholars. Tom Brenner . 2. Wasserman's final House prediction: "Heading into Election Day, 212 seats are at least Lean Republican, 188 seats are at least Lean Democrat and there are 35 Toss Ups. And the fallout, fueled by cross-country migration and even the Covid death toll, could linger into 2024 and beyond. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. IS IT A WAVE? Mayes and Hamadeh were not in court during the hearing. He added that its funding would help inform clear messaging on what we, as Republicans, stand for., In a state where their predecessors were known for publicly bickering even during the darkest days of the pandemic, Gov. But the GOPs victory could also represent a chance for the United States to finally end its political quagmire. Santos admitted he hadnt directly worked for Goldman Sachs and Citigroup and had not graduated from Baruch College, nor from any institution of higher learning.. Fri 25 Feb 2022 06.55 EST Last modified on Sun 27 Feb 2022 19.27 . The reason for the discrepancy was not immediately clear. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. But it was clear he wasnt over-the-moon about it. Incoming Rep. Mike Collins has not formally announced that Brandon Phillips will be his chief of staff, but three Georgia Republican congressional staffers told POLITICO he has been selected for the job. He deceived us and misrepresented his heritage., After aNew York Times investigation last week called out inconsistencies in his rsum, Santos (R-N.Y.) on Mondaytold the New York Post that he had indeed fabricated elements of his background in the lead-up to Novembers midterm elections. The Republican Jewish Coalition on Tuesday condemned Rep.-elect George Santos after he admitted to lying about key details of his credentials and misrepresenting his Jewish heritage. The GOP is still favored to hold open seats in North Carolina and Ohio, rated Lean Republican.. The Economist predicts that Democrats will keep the Senate and Republicans will gain a slight majority in the House.. Over the past several weeks, Democrats and Republicans have crisscrossed their electoral districts and regions, making closing . Return here to share it. Accidental opioid overdoses can happen to anyone, anywhere, at any time. October 21:Iowa moves from Safe to Likely Republican. Pic Another pic, HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), Sam Graves (R-Mo. It was the kind of conversation women everywhere were having with their mothers, sisters, daughters and friends. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The latest example comes from Alabama and its newly elected secretary of state, Wes Allen. The new Alabama secretary of state's first move in office showed how ideas stemming from the stolen election myth are affecting government. Hochul is a politician carved from a previous era., HOOSIER HEADS UP A potential bright spot for Dems in Indiana, by Adam Wren: Indiana Democrats, shut out of statewide offices for a decade in the solidly red state, could change that on Tuesday thanks to an unexpectedly competitive secretary of state race. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. You deserve to hear our thinking. President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 in the State Dining Room of the White House on July 28, 2022 in Washington, DC. The Senate has changed control eight times since 1980 (after 26 years without a change). A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters . We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. In lieu of a nominee, Democrats in Utah have endorsed independent Evan McMullin. December 5:Georgia runoff is rated Leans Democratic. Tuesdays midterm elections could be a continuation of that political trench warfare. Every time it looks as though one party gains a lasting upper hand Democrats after 2008 and 2020, Republicans after 1994 and 2010 its legislative overreach sends it back to parity. Doubling down on mass emails and texts is still a way to raise significant cash, and federal candidates and committees raised a combined $3.3 billion on ActBlue and WinRed, the parties primary online fundraising platforms, during the 2022 cycle. Some liberals say that the 2018 and 2020 anti-Trump surges prove that a stable center-left coalition exists to extinguish MAGA. For the White House, that would be just the beginning of the hurdles.. Good Monday morning. The big takeaway: Republicans have a grip on the House majority. Copy Code. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade. But then incumbent Jamie Herrera Beutler, who had voted to impeach Donald Trump, came in third in the states open primary. Come January, he may find himself needing to govern with those hes cast as democracys threats, Jonathan Lemire writes this morning. But behind a glass window in that conference room and tuning in over Zoom, a half-dozen consultants and staffers from Whitmers reelection campaign and the pro-abortion rights group EMILYs List listened to likely the first Democratic focus group conducted in the wake of the report. 2022 Election Results Biden Approval Polling 2022 midterms: CNN projects Democrats keep Senate as GOP wins House CNN coverage: What a 51-49 Senate majority means for Democrats Voters. Court cases typically move at a glacial pace, but this one lurched forward at a furious speed: Nkwonta filed the lawsuit on Monday at 10:08 p.m.; the Republican National Committee asked to join the case for Georgia sometime Tuesday; and at 10:55 a.m. on Wednesday, the judge ordered everyone to come to Atlanta for an in-person hearing less than 48 hours later. Supporters of both candidates have accused the other side of unfairly injecting race into the campaign. Thanks for reading Playbook. For weeks, outside GOP groups have financed an onslaught of ads, including a spot that showed Barness name styled in graffiti, and others that have labeled him as dangerously liberal and different. In some advertisements Barness skin has been darkened., KEYS TO THE KEYSTONE Battle for Bucks County: Oz, Fetterman converge on must-win Philly suburb, by Jessica Piper and Holly Otterbein in Philadelphia: Bucks County, which stretches along the Delaware River north of Philadelphia and has a population of roughly 650,000, represents the swingiest of the Philadelphia suburbs. But Hochul and Adams are banking that a unified approach will move the needle on a number of top items from changes to the states controversial laws ending cash bail to a rapid increase in housing development in a state controlled entirely by Democrats. Kari Lake, who, during the campaign, would not commit to accepting the results of her race, as she repeated former President Donald Trumps false claim that the 2020 election was rigged. This poll of polls collates all the major exit polls conducted by different organisations for Gujarat and Himachal . South Carolina Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to . More than anything, Tuesday night proved that we are as divided as ever. She no longer is tied to the whims of an evenly split Senate, where she had been called to cast more than two dozen tie-breaking votes. Vermont, Kentucky and Nevada dramatically expanded the ability to cast ballots before Election Day, and neither party gained an edge. Two special elections for seats held by Republicans were also held in conjunction with the general elections . ATLANTA Its Friday evening, two weeks before the Georgia Senate runoff. If those Toss Ups were to split evenly down the middle, Republicans would wind up at around 230 seats (+17). Karl Rove weighs in on the latest Fox News race projections and examines key congressional races that could determine a GOP takeover. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2022. | Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo. November 7:Arizona moves from Tilts to Leans Democratic; Pennsylvania Tilts Democratic to Tilts Republican. Indoctrination in socialism and CRT have no place in Florida schools. Congressional campaigns spent more on fundraising as a share of their total spending in 2022 than in the previous election cycle. In 2020, Republicans won 26 of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO. Biden has often cast the stakes of the 2022 election as verging on existential for democracy. After a lackluster 2021, the price of gold increases to above $2,000/ounce in anticipation of and, subsequently, in . That leaves Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania in the middle. Biden needs to either announcedefinitivelythat hell run for reelection or he needs to stand down and unleash a no-holds-barred Democratic primary. She was a generous tipper, per our tipster. Dont miss out, weve got some exciting moves coming. His work focuses on how Americas political order is being upended by populist challenges, from the left and the right. It also brings to the surface tensions over whether or not McDaniel can or should lead the RNC in this current political climate, with an increasingly undisciplined Trump launching a third presidential run and the party coming to terms with midterm losses that many blame on the former president. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Eric Adams have touted the strength of their relationship. The House has changed five times since 1994 (after 40 years without a change). A gain under that probably means the Republicans would have left at least a little bit of meat on the bone. Republicans are still suffering from the pandemics fallout. As it is every two years, control of the House and Senate will once again be at stake in the November 2022 midterm elections, and one of the best tools we have for predicting those election. In the latest incident, Phillips allegedly kicked the dog of a woman named Tifani Eledge with his boot, causing a cut to the animals stomach, according to an affidavit attached to a warrant for Phillips arrest. CLOSING TIME Democrats look to centrists in final hours while GOP amps up its base, by WaPos Annie Linskey, Cara McGoogan and Colby Itkowitz, For Republicans: As Republican candidates make their final appeal in key states, theyre tapping some of the most polarizing figures in their party and turning to messages centered on cultural division and at times pushing racial discord., For Democrats: At the same time, many Democrats are scrambling to highlight more moderate themes, overlooking the far left of their party and bringing in surrogates who appeal to middle-of-the-road voters, including former president Bill Clinton, Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG and Sen. AMY KLOBUCHAR (Minn.)., Confidence, Anxiety and a Scramble for Votes Two Days Before the Midterms, by NYTs Lisa Lerer, Jennifer Medina and Jonathan Weisman in Delaware County, Pa.: As candidates sprinted across the country to make their closing arguments to voters, Republicans entered the final stretch of the race confident they would win control of the House and possibly the Senate. American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, a Democrat, is leading his Trump-backed GOP challenger Blake Masters in the r ace for the state's Senate seat, and CBS News characterizes the race as leaning Democratic . One of many things gnawing at Dems in those scenarios: Having described a Republican wave as a gateway to democracys peril, Biden and his fellow Democrats would have to grapple with the likelihood that voters did not feel similarly aghast, writes Lemire. Today the site published an analysis of the 2022 election which predicts Democrats are facing an uphill battle next year even before you consider the impact of reapportionment and redistricting. An Arizona court on Saturday rejected Kari Lakes efforts to overturn the results of November's gubernatorial election. You cant call yourself a democracy or supporting democratic principles if you say, The only election that is fair is the one I win, he said at a campaign stop this weekend, referencing the many Republican candidates who deny the outcome of the 2020 election. In 2016, Phillips resigned as Donald Trumps Georgia state director after his prior criminal history was revealed. Our country moved rightward in a direction that is discernible, yet not dramatically. And perhaps, after 2 years of Democrats passing trillions in new spending and increasing inflation, thats a good thing. Despite the Democratic spin and despite what the mainstream media is saying, heres the big takeaway of the night: the GOP appears poised to take back the House and the trajectory of the Biden administration will be changed forever. In missives sent to all 168 members, several committeemen expressed horror with the Nick Fuentes dinner. I met up with Gluesenkamp Perez for lunch at Charlie Palmer Steakhouse in D.C. its white tablecloths and suit-clad patrons casting a stark contrast with the antler-forward decor and outdoor gear of the other Washingtons eateries. Market data provided by Factset. The "MAGA hangover" is real. Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore Are Ready To Step Up, McDaniel vs. Dhillon: Inside the battle for the RNC, Election deniers set sights on next target. Legal Statement. The voting is over and the 2022 midterm elections have (almost) wrapped up. Lawmakers of both parties made it easier to vote by expanding availability of mail and early voting in a politically mixed group of states: Vermont, Kentucky and Nevada. HEADS UP National security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN has engaged in recent months in confidential conversations with top aides to Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN in an effort to reduce the risk of a broader conflict over Ukraine and warn Moscow against using nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction, WSJs Vivian Salama and Michael Gordon report.