Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. But let's think about this some more. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Are they gross exaggerations? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Something was dropped and then picked up. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. That's 150,000 generations. Want to Read. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. That's 150,000 generations. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Step 1. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. June 5. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. dr ali binazir odds of being born. You have lived your life. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Step 3. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! They agree to within a factor of two! If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Which ones bigger? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Maybe that one would have been better. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. But let's think about this some more. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Thank you, Monsignor. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Think of yourself as dead. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Hello there! One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. But on all probability it would. But Im not mathy. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Now things start getting interesting. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Step 4. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. xx, Lets be social! Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Dr. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Same to all of us. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes.