Re: Best and Worst Red Zone Pass Offenses Since 1986, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews). Because of the relatively strict offside law in both codes of rugby, and the requirement that all passes be backward, interceptions are difficult to achieve. In his senior year in 1987, he was named All-American at that position while also being the team's starting quarterback. Derek Carr (Oakland Raiders) -Carr wasn't nearly as bad as the general consensus thinks he was, but the Raiders weren't competitive and didn't look like the kind of squad that's capable of a quick turnaround. On the other hand the correlation coefficients from year to year of TD Pct (TDs divided by Possessions) is 51.9% with a standard deviation among the teams of 9.14% (almost double the deviation of simply score %). 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NFL All-Time Interceptions Leaders - National Football League - ESPN NFL History - Leaders Leaders: Touchdowns | Scoring | Rush | Rush TDs | Receiving | Pass Yards | Pass Comp | Pass TDs |. He was inducted into the Canadian Football Hall of Fame (CFHF) in 2002. Click Here to Learn More. From more correlated to least correlated to Red Zone TD%: Total VOA (0.52), Total DVOA (0.51), Pass VOA (0.47), Pass DVOA (0.46), Rush VOA (0.43), Rush DVOA (0.42). fare gets job for one year while Campbell bake in oven. Charles Woodson, formerly with the Green Bay Packers and Oakland Raiders has 65 career interceptions and tied Rod Woodson for most defensive touchdowns with 13. 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Chicago (45.45%) The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Cousins consistently posts QB1 numbers and has one of the league's top wide receiver duos to throw to. Interceptions are predominantly made by the secondary or (on some occasions) the linebackers, who are usually closest to the quarterback's intended targets, the wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends. And probably passes more than most QBs in the red zone (though I can't back that up with stats), and so has more opportunities to get picked. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. So although the rates can be accurately measured, I don't think the implications of them would be nearly as accurate in terms of measuring relative RZS between QBs. I see 2, maybe 3, bad throws by Rodgers as a starter for those Red Zone INT's. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Minnesota(81.91%). No quarterback has thrown more than two red zone interceptions in each of the last two years, and only four quarterbacks threw more than one red zone interception in both seasons: Jon Kitna, Tony Romo, Ben Roethlisberger, and Peyton Manning. Jared Wickerham / Getty Imagesthere are few more beautiful games than a Correlation doesn't show cause, as a rule. Now further removed from that knee injury and the Eagles only adding more offensive weapons, Wentz is a strong candidate for top-5 overall numbers in 2019. Philip Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) -Only 13th in red-zone pass attempts, Rivers ranked 7th with 22 scores and was particularly effective inside the 10-yard line. more opportunities and production likely to result in touchdowns given the proximity to the endzone. In two seasons as Ohio State's starting quarterback, Stroud threw for 8,123 passing yards, 85 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. And finally we have the 1995 Packers. Chicago (80.91%) The former is somewhat more interesting: conventional wisdom (perhaps) says that running the ball is more important inside the red zone than passing the ball. If the intercepting team has the lead and there is little time left in the game, the intercepting player may down the ball immediately and not attempt to gain any yardage; the team then runs out the clock using scrimmage plays. In other words, it does not vary very much from team to team, and this year's score % isn't well correlated with next year's. A Houston native, Jody has covered the Texans locally since 2016 for both digital and radio audiences. Champ Bailey, who played for the Washington Redskins and Denver Broncos, had 10 interceptions in 2006 and has a career total of 52. Brown, and the SEC All-Alumni Awards, XFL Week 1 Review: Comebacks, Blowouts, and Lemons, Oh My, Aaron Rodgers and the NFL Offseason Nonsense Top 10. Your analysis is supported by some of the data I posted above. Targets by Team Snap Count Leaders Snap Count Analysis Fantasy Depth Charts RB Handcuffs Fantasy Points Allowed Red Zone Stats Advanced Stats Value Based Drafting Boom Bust Report Touchdown. Darren Sharper, a safety that played from 1997 to 2010, has a career total of 63 interceptions, and has returned 11 of those for touchdowns. So for example, if you were to find a strong correlation between any stat in Year 1 and wins in Year 2, I can't see how you could extract a meaningful conclusion from that. All-Time Passes Intercepted Leaders Build your own custom leaderboards with Stathead Football. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. He was inducted into the CFHF in 2018. Jags, too? pots syndrome and covid vaccine 4. Recent and Trending topics from Football Outsiders. We know you are here for the FREE analytics, not the ads. The 2017 Cleveland Browns went 0-16; the 2017 Philadelphia Eagles won the Super Bowl. In that area, Rivers ranked third with 116 yards and had a 15-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio. During both games he played for the Baltimore Ravens. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. The Packers offense was 12th in points per red zone possession in 2007, 31st in 2006, 24th in 2005, and 9th in 2004. Favr going to be good in 2008 whether with Greeb Bay Pakcers or Washigton Redskins. Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 6:41AM. I have a co-worker who is against Favre coming back to Green Bay, and after I debunked most of his reasons he's hanging his hat on "Favre throws too many interceptions in the red zone," despite having no idea if he's actually higher or lower than any other quarterback. But they had a pair of dangerous weapons in Calvin Williams (ten touchdowns in 60 catches) and Mark Bavaro (six in 43). Paul Krause holds the record for most career interceptions with 81. Things weren't much better for the 2004 Bears, who went from second-year Rex Grossman to seventh-year Jonathan Quinn to undrafted rookie Craig Krenzel to failed baseball player Chad Hutchinson, the Plan D quarterback who ended up with the most playing time. This is, of course, assuming that the turnover results in field position at the 10 yard line. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Newton also doubles as an excellent runner and produced another 54 rushing yards and four touchdowns in the red zone last year before missing the Panthers' final two contests with a shoulder injury. Leaders based on 1500 pass attempts. I didn't know if Q stopped or if Rodgers was forcing it to Boykin. RE: Passing VOA being slightly more correlated with RZ TD% than Rushing VOA; My initial thoughts on this are that teams in general tend to rely slightly more on the passing game for TD attempts in the RZ, and that might explain the slightly stronger Passing VOA correlation you found. In ball-playing competitive team sports, an interception or pick is a move by a player involving a pass of the ballwhether by foot or hand, depending on the rules of the sportin which the ball is intended for a player of the same team but caught by a player of the team on defense, who thereby usually gains possession of the ball for their team. An asterisk (*) after a player's name indicates bowl stats are included.Read more about our data coverage. In American football and Canadian football, an interception occurs when a forward pass that has not yet touched the ground is caught by a player of the opposing defensive team. Indianapolis (88.79%) That's a nice set of data there Dan, so I thought I'd take a crack at it real quick: Best 5 Teams from 2003-2007(5 seasons) in terms of TD% in Red Zone: This is the list of the 39 National Football League (NFL) players who have recorded at least 50 interceptions. The Cardinals drafted him in the third round at the latter position -- in four years with Arizona, he threw 455 passes but only punted six times. Matt Flymm backup top Broom. Lewis is also the only member of the 40/30 club (at least 40 sacks and at least 30 interceptions). A full list of Cardinals red zone passing touchdowns that season: Tupa-to-Ernie Jones for 17 yards in Week 5 against New England; Tupa-to-Johnny Johnson for 15 yards, also in Week 5; and Stan Gelbaugh-to-Willie Williams for 3 yards against Philadelphia in Week 13. Reskins make run at Superbowl. 5 years ago I'd claim "he's trying to do too much," but since he brought his INT count down to about 10 a few years ago, clearly he's been more careful. Gelbaugh would move on a year later to Seattle, where he would be a major contributor to the worst passing attack since the Reagan administration. 1. However, if you were to find a QB who has an especially low rate of INTs in the RZ, that would be the clearest possible indication of ERZS. There are also player safety implications: when the ball is turned over, the play is now suddenly and unexpectedly moving in the opposite direction. Kansas City (62.40%) 2020 NFL Red Zone Passing Stats Previous Season Next Season Super Bowl Champion: Tampa Bay Buccaneers AP MVP: Aaron Rodgers AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Justin Herbert More league info An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. Seattle (89.37%) Better QBs will put their team in the RZ more often, and therefore have more opportunities for an int. Strong safety Sammy Knight had 42 interceptions in his career. While it usually means taking points off the board, but it also means giving up far less field position. New England (60.07%) Word. I assume you're familiar with the 2017 Browns, but I did want to leave you with one more table: Good article, but why is it in Extra Points? He is also the all-time leader in blocked kicks with 13. In fact, Peyton Manning has nine red zone interceptions between 2004 and 2007, tied with Favre and brother Eli for the highest total in the NFL over that four-year span. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. When RBEzekiel Elliott is on the field, he'll get the majority of the Cowboys' touches as the offense nears the goal line. -Tendency to give high fives instead of butt pats (or vice-versa!). [citation needed]. Teams don't often stay the same as they were the year before (i.e. On December 26, 2010, Brady overtook the previous record of 308 consecutive completed passes without an interception, held by Bernie Kosar of the Cleveland Browns since 1991. I'm not sure that year-to-year statistical correlations in general offer much information about a team. How does a team with only 11 red zone touchdown passes (they had only 13 total touchdown throws all season) finish with one of the best red zone passing DVOAs ever? Thanks a lot :) I'll try to post regularly about in depth analysis items rather than just highlights on the blog. This could have been a Deadspin Let's Remember Some Guys thing. duh!). In basketball, a pick is called a steal. Favre Hadl Testaverde Tarkenton Snead Unitas Marino Manning Blanda Hart Manning Brees Layne Fouts Moon Elway Brodie Stabler Tittle Namath Brady Roethlisberger 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 336 268 267 266 257 253 252 251 248 247 244 243 243 242 233 226 224 222 221 220 212 211. Also signed Fred Davis the other day,. Turns out only 5 of them came when he was a starter, and 2 of the 5 should have been caught by the receiver. http://bit.ly/Subscribe-to-TPSDescription: W. 2. He has thrown a total of 336 interceptions in his 20-year career. Oakland (79.89%) Read more about our data coverage. Did his (un)retirement satisfy the football gods? The perfect field position valuation metric would encapsulate the total expected points of having the ball at a certain yard line on a certain down/distance. As soon as a pass is intercepted, everyone on the defense immediately acts as blockers, helping the person with the interception get as much yardage as possible and perhaps a touchdown (commonly called a "pick-six", since a touchdown is worth 6 points); at the same time, everyone on the offense becomes the defense and may attempt to tackle the ball-carrier. Berry also achieved an ordinary pick-six earlier in the same game.[2]. I too hope the Redskins don't tard a valuable player. Joe Horn! As a matter of policy, Sports Reference only reports the results of games as played on the field. 2. You could count this against Rodgers, but it's kind of just bad luck. The interceptions are huge moments of movement and can completely change the . Highlight Tripleheader, Keion White, Riley Moss, and Shrimp: Combine Notebook. Rodgers defines precision. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Founder of Football Outsiders However, the poor fucker who intercepted it had Lacy and Sitton coming towards him the instant they saw it happen. Lester Hayes of the Oakland Raiders was one of the National Football League's (NFL) leaders at interceptions in the late 1970s and early 1980s. Raiderjoe, you are a gentlemen and a scholar. All NFL Teams. Assume having the ball at the 10 yard lines gives you a value of X points, and that having at your own 10 yard line gives you a value of Y points. However, having re-read your post (23) I now realise that I am not certain exactly what you mean by "Score% isnt very correlated from one year to the next"; what other variable are you correlating it with? We present them here for purely educational purposes. He's accounted for 25-plus scores in six of his eight seasons. The 1991 Giants really stick out here. Canadian and Pro Football Hall of Famer Bud Grant of the Blue Bombers, holds the record for most interceptions in a playoff game, also with five, which he accomplished in a game against the Saskatchewan Roughriders in 1953. 3. Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) -No surprise to see perennially-underrated Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins perform well in the red-zone. Perfect blend of super-genius level football analysis and the feel of a bunch of people hanging out and having fun. Miami(77.52%) [1] This leads to an immediate change of possession during the play, and the defender who caught the ball can immediately attempt to move the ball as far towards the opposing end zone as possible. Still On Cowboys' Wish List, Jessie Bates III Not Expected Back In Cincinnati, No Movement On Leighton Vander Esch Talks, James Paxton Unlikely To Be Ready For Opening Day, Marco Gonzales Fans Three Against D-Backs, Ozzie Albies Playing Second Base Saturday. The 1997 Chargers got passes from Craig Whelihan, Stan Humphries, Jim "he played for the Chargers?" He was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 1998. He was known for covering his chest, shoulders and forearms with a copious amount of the adhesive Stickum to help him hold on to the ball. (Kicker Paul Edinger also threw one pass; naturally, it was intercepted.). See NFL player statistics across every major statistical category. This is due to the fact that pass attempts in the RZ are infrequent plays (relative to all other plays). Advanced WR Metrics: The Predictive Ability of Air Yards, Advanced QB Metrics: The Best and Worst Quarterbacks Under Pressure, True Catch Rate: Which WR's Have the Best Hands, 4 Reasons Why Lamar Miller Will Improve Your Fantasy Team, 4 League Winning QB-WR Stacks You Should Implement in 2019, Follow @Model.ButterBlogPost.Author.TwitterHandle, Brian Hoyer Expected To Be Cut By The Pats. Jody is also a frequent guest on SiriusXM and Houston radio and his work regularly appears in print on newsstands each summer. So you're not just losing field position, but losing 3 points and the potential for 4 more.